Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 1.200011 1.469231 1.817523 2.316352 3.040390 4.104047 5.899646
2025-04-27 0.876058 1.180705 1.640397 2.442729 3.965715 7.215028 17.097393
2025-05-04 0.691742 0.985459 1.471836 2.439899 4.691218 11.466626 57.126648
2025-05-11 0.568373 0.838399 1.313235 2.347753 5.154656 16.701022 289.647922
2025-05-18 0.499821 0.761100 1.247076 2.404204 6.107906 29.003075 NaN
2025-05-25 0.454458 0.712270 1.217389 2.528668 7.536041 62.060829 NaN
2025-06-01 0.409695 0.654932 1.153164 2.530501 8.580714 130.785407 NaN
2025-06-08 0.367279 0.594605 1.067433 2.430558 9.046679 254.889395 NaN
2025-06-15 0.345070 0.569674 1.054330 2.549310 11.177870 2291.392415 NaN
2025-06-22 0.320719 0.536644 1.014667 2.562800 12.797803 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.296056 0.499694 0.958093 2.491578 13.654330 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.275955 0.469812 0.913558 2.448050 14.841821 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.268178 0.465431 0.934261 2.684900 21.136955 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.257306 0.453041 0.931752 2.831032 28.309515 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.243009 0.431388 0.899741 2.825625 33.100021 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.227323 0.405050 0.850251 2.711580 34.357442 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.218025 0.392241 0.837241 2.781131 44.142094 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.211437 0.384900 0.838792 2.935149 64.967727 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.202087 0.370187 0.815752 2.937422 80.237314 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.191046 0.350581 0.774991 2.813667 81.997245 NaN NaN
2025-09-07 0.186119 0.345034 0.776845 2.960765 132.962252 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.179183 0.334051 0.759856 2.977519 179.767360 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.171044 0.319542 0.729631 2.889166 197.399780 NaN NaN